Time Value of Money

What will be your choice?

What will be your decision?

Definition of Time Value of Money.

To start our discussion, we shall first visit the concept of Time Value of Money.

Time Value of Money is a concept rather important for us to understand inflation and investment. It is one of the useful tool to make investment decision and also to correctly calculate the real return of an investment.

One of the important parameter in TVM calculation will be the potential earning capacity. Interest rate for fixed deposit account is one of the typical example of potential earning capacity and it is deemed risk free.

Scenario with 3% interest rate.

For option 1, there will be no calculation involved. For option 2, for each RM 100,000 to be received in the future will be equivalent to a value today (PV). When we sum up all of these, we will get an equivalent value today.

From the above calculation, we can know that the present value for option 2 will be equivalent to RM 557,970. This is higher than option 1, therefore we can conclude that based on 3% p.a. interest rate, Option 2 is the better option.

Scenario with 8% interest rate.

The decision will be different when the interest rate is 8%. From above table, the total present value will be RM 499,271 for option 2. This is lower that RM 500,000. Therefore, Option 1 is now the better option.

Reference for PV & FV Formula.
Disclaimer.

Where to put My Money?

Monetary Policy Committee of Bank Negara Malaysia’s reduced Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 50 basis points to 2.00% after meeting on 5th May 2020. (click here for BNM press release) With this announcement, interest rates for both borrowings and savings will be adjusted accordingly. For those of you with Fixed Deposit Savings may start to feel that it may not be viable to continue placing FDs with bank. So, what should you do?

Worry Not! You can expect a lot of advertisements and posts about investment opportunities everyday. You may have received calls from someone, you know or do not know, who offered you with investment schemes. Some may even offer you new career opportunities.

Continue reading “Where to put My Money?”

O.P.R Cut by 0.25%

Bank Negara announced cut by 25 basis point for OPR (Overnight Policy Rate) on 7th May 2019. In their statement:

At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to reduce the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) to 3.00 percent. The ceiling and floor rates of the corridor for the OPR are correspondingly reduced to 3.25 percent and 2.75 percent respectively.

(ref: http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?ch=en_press&pg=en_press&ac=4850&lang=en)

OPR Cut - 2019

What is Overnight Policy Rate (O.P.R)?

The overnight policy rate (OPR) is the interest rate at which a depository institution lends immediately available funds (balances within the central bank) to another depository institution overnight.

(Quoted: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overnight_policy_rate)

When was the last adjustment? What was the adjustment?

The last adjustment was on 25th Jan 2018 with increase of 0.25%. For the full list of OPR movement since 2008, kindly refer to Bank Negara Malaysia website.

(http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?ch=mone&pg=mone_opr_stmt)

What does this has to do with me? 

The movement of OPR might trigger adjustment of interest rate for banks including fixed deposit, short-term or other long-term interest rate. And, if you have a Mortgage Loan, movement of OPR will trigger adjustment to your Base Lending Rate (BLR) or Base Rate (BR) which could affect your monthly instalment. In short, this shall followed by lower interest rate in both saving or loan products for banks.

What can I expect and what to do?

Since the adjustment will come in phases, if you have extra cash and decided to be deposited, you may want to log in longer and earlier. As you will expect the next deposit rate may be lower. At the same time, if you are looking for loan product with fixed interest rate such as Hire Purchase, Personal loan and etc, you might want to wait for the bank to make the adjustment.

Why does OPR set by Bank Negara?

In a simple way, it is used by Bank Negara as a way to either encourage spending or discourage spending. This is also one of the way to influence economy growth, inflation and even employment rate. Imagine, when saving interest rate is low, this will discourage public from deposit it with bank but to look for alternative such as capital market, bond or other investment opportunity. This will bring more money to the market to spur economy activities.

At the same time, when loan interest is low, it will also encourages borrowing activity that will stimulate economy. Businesses might take the opportunity for capital expenditure or business expansion since the cost is lower. This could also lead to more employment opportunity.

What is your view on the adjustment of OPR by Bank Negara Malaysia?

Feel free to share with us your view.

Fixed Rate Mortgage Loan – Is this the RIGHT time?

Recently in my sharing session, audiences may find that I’m promoting Fixed Rate Housing Loan. While some knew about it, many still unaware that in Malaysia’s housing loan market, there is a choice of Fixed Rate. The question now, is this the time to take fixed rate? Why I choose to promote this at this time? (In fact, I’ve been promoting this since end of 2014)

Fixed Rate

Before we discuss further, we should first clarify some confusions with fixed rate housing loan. (If you already know, kindly skip this paragraph) First, the interest rate is fixed through out the tenure and the maximum tenure is also 35 years or up to age of 70 years. Does this means the interest calculation works like our hire purchase loan? No, the loan is still calculated on daily basis. For any early prepayment or full settlement, client need to only pay the outstanding principal (plus any administrative cost-if any). Secondly, is the loan locked through out the loan tenure? No – You can settle the loan at any time you wish.

Whenever I talk about fixed rate, as usual, the first question is :

1. What is the interest rate?

The rate is currently around 4.99%. The respond that I will receive is : SO HIGH!. Yes, it is higher than most of the commercial bank rate out there. When I told audiences a year ago, the rate is 4.65% (promotional) and 4.85%(normal), client also told me: SO HIGH!. Some chosen to believe when I share what I’m going to discuss later in this article. Today average commercial bank rate has reached 4.7% and some of the purchaser have not even got their house key from the developer. Many will still wait and say ~So HIGH!

2. Why is the rate for Fixed Rate Housing Loan higher that variable rate?

Actually, Fixed Rate is not always higher than variable rate. When interest rate is on high side, fixed rate will be lower than average market rate. Why? Fixed Rate will always be closer to average rate over long span of time. Currently 30 years average is about 7%, therefore fixed rate is nearer to average and higher than variable rate. When variable rate were around 14% during 90’s, fixed rate is also around 7% and much lower than market rate. Fixed Rate need to take into consideration of long term rather than short term market rate. Honestly, fixed rate is actually still very low currently. This was due to stiff competition over the past few years.

3. Will Fixed Rate increase?

Yes, definitely fixed rate will increase when market interest rate increased. However, at this specific moment, if you locked it, it will not increase for your loan no matter what happens.

4. I want the lowest! 

Just like when we were buying stocks in share market, I want to buy at lowest point and sell at highest point. But, how many investors really bought at lowest point? Everyone expect it to be lowest until the price rebounded and start to increase. And we know that the rate has just rebounded over the past one year.

5. Where the loan money come from? Bank’s share holders or public?

The fund definitely comes from the public. Let’s look at deposit rate; is it in the increasing trend or decreasing trend? From any marketing materials by banks, anyone of us would sense that the interest is in the increasing trend. If the cost of fund got higher, how do financial institution get their profit? Should they increase the lending rate?

6. Who control Base Rate and Base Lending Rate?

Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)? Wrong! It’s is controlled by banks. Recently few banks had adjusted their Base Rate (BR) and Base Lending Rate (BLR). I’ve no intention to  discuss this as the information can be easily obtained.

Please do not get me wrong, we are independent mortgage advisers. We do provide consultation and assist our client for mortgage loan applications to few major banks. Our intention is only to share our view with the public for everyone’s benefit.

If you would like to know more, feel free to contact us: email to ask@ethanteh.com

We also provide training/sharing/seminar session in matters regarding to Mortgage Loan.

 

How Anyone Can Calculate Property Loan Repayment, for FREE!

Have you wonder how can you make your own calculation for Property Loan repayment? One of the easiest way is download a free application – Karl’s Mortgage Calculator (from google play). Below I attached a simple tutorial – How to use the calculator?

Karl's Mortgage Calculator

Thank you for watching.

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